Located in:
- Program-Specific Requirements for Vocational Rehabilitation (Combined or General)
The Vocational Rehabilitation (VR) Services Portion of the Unified or Combined State Plan [13] must include the following descriptions and estimates, as required by section 101(a) of the Rehabilitation Act of 1973, as amended by title IV of WIOA:
__________
[13] Sec. 102(b)(2)(D)(iii) of WIOA
- k. Annual Estimates
Describe:
- k. Annual Estimates
k. 4. The cost of services for the number of individuals estimated to be eligible for services. If under an order of selection, identify the cost of services for each priority category.
Current Narrative:
As noted in K.1 and K.2, the Division believes we can expect an increase in applications for VR services. IDVR’s fiscal unit conducts forecasts using increases of one, three and five percent to project various cost scenarios and their potential impact on grant funds. For the purposes of this section (K.2-K.4), the Division will utilize an FFY 2021 actual basis, the three percent volume of services increase for FY 2022, and the five percent volume of services increase for FY 2023 for projections.
IDVR’s fiscal unit conducts projections annually down to severity category. While IDVR is not operating under an Order of Selection, this exercise better prepares the Division to detail projections at the category level should it become necessary. Additionally, IDVR’s fiscal unit conducts fiscal projections using two models. One is a scenario using the five-year average cost per customer, and the second is a scenario using current YTD average costs per customer.
Due to uncertainty in projections due to conditions presented by COVID-19 including excessive inflationary pressures which may or may not be transitory, IDVR has selected the current year average costs for projections in this state plan to reflect higher anticipated costs in the coming two-years. As additional time elapses under the current SE provision model, and conditions normalize, the Division will consider switching these estimates to the five-year projections. For the purposes of this plan the division believes the YTD projections represent the best model to project expenditures under current conditions.
| MSD | SD | D | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated in Plan Status | 2010 | 1675 | 1388 | 5073 |
| Estimated Cost per Plan | $1,644.36 | $1,546.44 | $1,374.36 | $1,538.16 |
| Estimated Customers on SE Plan | 459 | N/A | N/A | |
| Average SE Services Cost | $1,660.54 | |||
| Estimated SE Annual Expenditure | $762,186.60 | $762,186.60 | ||
| Non-SE Plan Expenditure | $2,542,977.00 | $2,590,287.00 | $1,907,611.68 | $7,040,875.68 |
| Total Estimated Annual Plan Cost | $3,305,163.60 | $2,590,287.00 | $1,907,611.68 | $7,803,062.28 |
| MSD | SD | D | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated in Plan Status | 2070 | 1725 | 1430 | 5225 |
| Estimated Cost per Plan | $1,644.36 | $1,546.44 | $1,374.36 | $1,538.16 |
| Estimated Customers on SE Plan | 473 | N/A | N/A | |
| Average SE Services Cost | $1,660.54 | |||
| Estimated SE Annual Expenditure | $785,052.08 | $785,052.08 | ||
| Non-SE Plan Expenditure | $2,618,773.12 | $2,667,609.00 | $1,965,334.80 | $7,251,716.92 |
| Total Estimated Annual Plan Cost | $3,403,825.20 | $2,667,609.00 | $1,965,334.80 | $8,036,769.00 |
| MSD | SD | D | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated in Plan Status | 2111 | 1759 | 1457 | 5327 |
| Estimated Cost per Plan | $1,644.36 | $1,546.44 | $1,374.36 | $1,538.16 |
| Estimated Customers on SE Plan | 482 | N/A | N/A | |
| Average SE Services Cost | $1,660.54 | |||
| Estimated SE Annual Expenditure | $800,295.81 | $800,295.81 | ||
| Non-SE Plan Expenditure | $2,670,948.15 | $2,720,187.96 | $2,002,442.52 | $7,393,578.63 |
| Total Estimated Annual Plan Cost | $3,471,243.96 | $2,720,187.96 | $2,002,442.52 | $8,193,874.44 |
Note: IDVR is not on an order of selection, however, the Division prepares projections utilizing severity categories to conduct more accurate fiscal forecasting in the event OoS implementation was indicated.